6/5 – The Chief’s “Another Round of T-Storms Ahead” Wednesday Morning Forecast

A cold front has a surface low-pressure system in Manitoba this morning with a front from there through Wisconsin to Missouri to around the Texarkana region and then bends back into west TX. The front will move faster with a complex of showers/t-storms, but the two will feed off each other. The front will provide forcing over a larger area and will allow the MCS to cold pool and develop more cells to its east and NE.

The front should slow as it gets well into northern LA. The complex of t-storms may even outrun the frontal boundary by several miles at this time and since it is the obvious path for any MCS to travel, this is exactly what models are doing, sending the COMPLEX eastward along its axis later today. Showers & t-storms will move into the area overnight and through the day Thursday as the front become more stationary overhead.

Models continue to try to bring some type of dry air with an area of high pressure that builds in rather quick over the weekend. There are two frontal boundaries that will move into the area. This first one gets near the coast by Friday before stalling and the second gets into the area Saturday as high pressure moves to the east of the area. Models are trying to show dry days for Friday, Saturday and Sunday but moisture values are still elevated. Another front will move into the area Monday bringing another round of showers/t-storms with it.