5/29 – The Chief’s “Hot Memorial Day” Morning Forecast

A blocking pattern remains across the eastern half of the country with an upper ridge over the Great Lakes. Yesterday’s double barreled upper low, as expected, has consolidated near the Georgia-South Carolina border. Upper disturbances were moving out of the Rockies into the Dakotas and Texas, and a weaker disturbance over the western Gulf of Mexico.

At the surface, weak low pressure was noted over the eastern Carolinas with high pressure over eastern Canada. A backdoor cold front was approximately from Kansas City to Montgomery to Savannah. Quite a bit of mid and high cloud cover was moving along the Gulf Coast associated with the shortwave to our west. Most guidance shows little change in moisture values today, and if anything, dries those values out somewhat for Tuesday. Any convection the next two days will likely be diurnally driven and extremely isolated. This pattern will continue through the rest of the workweek.