2/14 – The Chief’s WARM “Valentine’s Day” Morning Forecast

A cold front moving toward the area today will do so at a rapid pace but will not only pump the brakes but will stand on them once it gets to a Sabine River to Monroe line by this evening. The front will stop abruptly as it feels the stronger forcing coming from the west as a new stronger front moving east. Tonight is questionable as far as fog is concerned.

Winds this afternoon will gust into the 20/30 mph range. The next front will move quickly toward the area. But even though the warm sector will be far inland, instability is still quite lacking or at least being disconnected with the help of an almost WARMER LAYER in the low levels. Shear is not that impressive either, but as usual, it will be one of those that one can never say never to. But at the moment it just looks like a rainy day/night with some gusty winds possible. The SPC has the area under a slight risk inland and probably could have been even farther north but it’s always good to buffer. The front should be through the area by 9 pm Thursday bringing some chilly air once again. The next system could be seen by mid-next week and at the moment, it looks subdued as well. But this is too far out to make any decisive moves on it.