9/30 – Rob’s “CHILLY Morning” Wednesday Forecast
BEAUTIFUL Autumn conditions in the area will continue through the extended forecast period. A reinforcing surge of dry cool air will move through the area Thu night into Friday keeping these conditions through the weekend. This is when the next tropical disturbance is expected to initialize over the NW Caribbean. As this feature moves closer to the Yucatan, a deep moisture feed will get transported northward ahead of yet another cold front Sunday.
The strong stacked ridge bridges the southern end of the front causing a depletion of whatever rain manages to develop to the NW of the area. Basically, our area should continue to enjoy dry weather even into the new week. The ridging that develops behind the weekend front looks to settle over the deep south which should keep any tropical activity moving west or back into the Atlantic. Models at the moment are settling on a continued westward track of the first system over the Yucatan and southern gulf.