9/21 – The Chief’s “Near Record High Temps” Wednesday Afternoon Forecast
Dry conditions will continue trough the rest of the workweek thanks to the high pressure to the NE. Consequently, temperatures will be fairly warm for this time of year with high temperatures forecast to be in the mid-90s to potentially upper 90s today and Thursday afternoon.
Friday through Tuesday…Expect the hot and dry conditions to continue as we head into the weekend. Temperatures start gradually declining on Friday as the high pressure off to our west over Texas begins to flatten out. Still, the temperature profile aloft will be too warm for t-storms to develop Friday and Saturday. Medium range models agree that the high pressure really starts breaking down late Saturday into Sunday as a weakness from the northern Plains digs into the central CONUS. Because of this, slightly higher moisture content returns to the area as well as slightly cooler air aloft. This gives Sunday the best chance to see rain, although it will be very scattered.
Multiple models are hinting at a front extending from this trough and making its way through our area on Monday. If this happens, expect much drier conditions behind the front. Even if that does not happen, once we get west of the trough axis, similar drier air will make its way into the area and suppress convective chances for the rest of the period.