7/24 – Payton’s Monday Afternoon Forecast
a FLASH FLOOD WATCH continues until 7 pm Tuesday for much of the area. Heavy rainfall will continue most of today, but start to taper of this evening. As an area of high-pressure settles into the N’tern Gulf of Mexico, the moisture flow will be quite abundant along with a steering flow from west to east. A very TROPICAL AIR MASS will dominate the region through mid-week keeping rain potential elevated. HEAT INDICES will stay fairly low due to cloud coverage and rain cooled air…but will become a factor again mid-week towards the weekend. As the weekend approaches, a cold front should be pushing south over Tennessee into Mississippi on Friday which will be close enough to enhance suppression along the viewing area. This will all but shut down all sh/ts activity Friday.
The cold front will move through the area Saturday evening or Sunday morning with what looks like a good bit of sh/ts activity which could be strong or even severe especially associated with a strong cold front this time of year. After frontal passage, deep dry air behind the front will be a welcome change, but these type of conditions do not last long this time of year.