7/3 – The Chief’s “Independence Day Eve” Monday Morning Forecast

At the surface, the Bermuda high “High Pressure” extends westward across Florida into the northern Gulf of Mexico. A front is extended from Lake Erie into Oklahoma which coupled with daytime heating will be the culprit for thunderstorms the next couple of days. Temperatures will be slightly cooler this afternoon compared to Sunday, which may make it somewhat easier for afternoon thunderstorms to develop. Initiation will probably occur first near sea-breeze boundaries, then spreading northward across the southern six counties. For the most part, heat index values should stay below the 105. As for Independence Day, rain chances are expected to increase across most of the area, with increased coverage of showers and thunderstorms during the day. We could see development near the coast even around or shortly after sunrise if overnight thunderstorms develop over the Gulf. Tomorrow will be closer to average with high temperatures in the upper 80s.

As for the rest of the extended forecast, we’ll see daily threats of showers and thunderstorms, which could produce locally heavy rainfall. This will also hold temperatures much closer to normal, near or just above 90. As we get into next weekend, temperatures will start to rise to the low 90s.