6/5 – Rob Knight’s “EXTENDED WET” Morning Forecast
The combination of an upper disturbance approaching from the west and high-pressure centered over the southern Gulf of Mexico will bring moisture northeastward across the southern Gulf States. It won’t be until Thursday that the deeper tropical moisture moves in.
The area will be under a Moderate Risk for Excessive rainfall and local Flash Flood Watch is now in effect.
Higher coverage of showers and thunderstorms will continue into Friday as the base of the close low/trough slowly moves across northern Texas and Oklahoma. A Moderate Risk for Excessive rainfall is notated along the Mississippi coast and a Slight Risk Elsewhere.
The Flash Flood Watch may be extended into the weekend. The trough will begin shifting northeast towards the Great Lakes Saturday. Before the bulk of moisture exits, dry air will be moving into the mid-levels. Higher rain chances will finally be dwindling down Sunday late and especially next week as upper level high-pressure builds north across Mexico and Texas. Scattered convection will be possible but should be more in the 20 to 30% coverage categories. Highs will be rebounding from cooler/wetter period late this week.