6/21 – The Chief’s “First Day of Summer” Wednesday Morning Forecast

There is a disturbance in the pattern located in our area this morning. This disturbance will move SW just a bit and should be located in our southern counties. This is where the first sign of new showers and thunderstorms will form this later morning before moving farther SW. These thunderstorms along and south of this disturbance will again have all attributes that previous thunderstorms over the last few days have had as far as heavy rain is concerned. The environment has not changed along and south of a stationary front. Strongest storms of the day should be found mainly west of our area. However without seeing any changes south of this disturbance, there will still be the chance for isolated showers/t-storms capable of dumping another round of heavy rain. The front should settle southward along or just inland of the coast late today. This is where most of the shower and thunderstorm activity should move to and remain through Thursday night.

This front will dictate where the strongest storms are expected on Friday into the weekend. But some changes to this whole scenario will be possible on Saturday, because the disturbance will quickly start moving back to the N and NE. This occurs as the low pressure to our NE starts to move north then NE over the weekend into early next week. As the disturbance departs, it will take most of the elevated rain chances with it. But saying bye to this disturbance means once again hot temperatures. By mid-next week, a more normal summertime pattern returns to the area.