5/25 – The Chief’s “Sunny & Warmer” Thursday Morning Forecast
Showers and a few thunderstorms continue over portions of the Gulf waters this morning. This area is also the most favored for convection a disturbance south continues to move south of the region.
Further north over the land based zones, expect a drier day today as additional dry air advects into the region as northwesterly flow continues to take shape. Temperature will likely be a bit warmer today as more insolation should be realized and slightly higher upper heights gradually spread eastward. This warming trend should continue into Friday, especially western locations. At the surface, through the short term surface winds will begin to decrease as winds will relax a bit. This should help the sea breeze move a bit more inland, but the flow albeit it weaker should limit the northward progression somewhat.
An interesting synoptic pattern will be ongoing across the Southeast U.S. A large scale upper level trough will be placed over the southeast. A low pressure looks to develop off the GA/SC coast and will eventually be absorbed in the stronger upper low over the Tennessee Valley through the holiday weekend. So, what does that mean for us? Well, our region will remain on the drier side with continued dry northwesterly upper level flow over the region. Only very subtle precip signals late Saturday or early Sunday, but for now lower-end rain chances.
Through the remainder of the long term period, overall rather benign conditions expected. The aforementioned upper level low begins to exit stage east over the Mid Atlantic by Tuesday. Aloft, our dry northwesterly flow weakens leaving a fairly stagnant wind regime both at the surface and aloft.