4/23 – Payton’s Tuesday Afternoon Forecast

Another decent today although we will see clouds in and our throughout the afternoon and evening. It’s possible we see a sprinkle or two this evening, but the chance for rain is below 10 percent. By Wednesday another day of clouds building in ahead of  the next storm system, which will arive on Thursday bring heavy rain and possibly a few strong to severe t-storms. The severity portion of this complex will be where the strongest mid and upper dynamics are located Thursday. This could be over the N’tern Gulf of Mexico or just north of the area. To get better confidence on best locations for severe wx, we will need to get a little closer to the event. SPC has basically set the entire area in a slight risk of severe for Thursday. All modes of severe wx would accompany this risk. Although thunderstorms with this system will have some very heavy rainfall, the cells will be transitory so some nuisance flooding of low lying areas may occur but widespread flooding issues are not expected. By Friday we begin to clear out and this weekend is looking nice once again!