3/8 – Rob Knight’s “Scattered Rain” Tuesday Morning Forecast

The frontal boundary will stall just off the northern Gulf Coast thanks to high-pressure to the SE. Isolated rain with a few t-storms possible this morning with cloudy skies and breezy conditions through tonight. Models indicate a weak surface low developing along the northward drifting warm front tonight. Activity will ramp up overnight with scattered showers and t-storms overnight into early Wednesday morning.

There is a very brief and narrow opportunity for severity with strong winds and small hail possible. SPC has outlooked extreme SE LA (just S/E of New Orleans) and Coastal MS in a marginal severe thunderstorm risk. Northerly flow in wake of the surface low will cause the front to move offshore again by Wednesday morning.

For those who want a break in the wet pattern, Thursday looks to provide a brief ray of hope. The last but strongest disturbance will approach from the Southwest US Thursday night and Friday. This will lead to thunderstorms and locally heavy rainfall potential, especially along the warm front Friday afternoon and evening. The weekend will bring a blast of cold air with windy conditions Saturday and FREEZING TEMPERATURES Saturday night.

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