3/29 – Rob’s “SEVERE THREAT” Thursday Morning Forecast

A cold front may be getting its kick started this morning near the Houston area. This eastward progression will bring a good bit of thunderstorm activity through area with the front. A few of these will have enough support to become strong or even severe with the major concerns being damaging winds, hail, and the small probability of a tornado. The threat levels should follow the order of these variables and SPC has the majority of the area with a slight risk of severe thunderstorms today.

Thunderstorms today will also have heavy rainfall accompany them with rain rates of 1 to 2″ per hour. Total rainfall should be from 1 to 3″. There is a possibility that the majority of this total rainfall could be observed over a few locations. This would cause temporary flooding of low lying and poor drainage areas with a slight risk of excessive rainfall for today. Some patchy fog could set in behind the main line of sh/ts this evening as another reinforcing surge of dry cool air moves in late tonight. The fog should not be in very long as the new boundary moves through clearing it out after midnight.

Coastal flood advisory will remain through 7 pm today. Some guidance is backing off on high water levels today but southerly winds remain high through the day so tides should also remain elevated today. Once winds ease and turn to a more northwesterly direction, water levels will drop. High pressure will settle over the area through the weekend and a new cold front looks to affect the area by mid next week.