3/23 – Rob Knight’s “Warm & WET” Tuesday Afternoon Forecast
Winds ahead of a cold front moving toward the area today will produce winds around 20-25 mph for a good portion of area. A wind advisory is in effect along with a FLASH FLOOD WATCH through Friday morning. A cold front will move into Louisiana before stalling late today with an abundance of moisture along and ahead of the front. The disturbance will move over a very deep moist environment with PW values reaches number above record values for this time of year. This will keep the Flash Flood Watch in place with no changes. The ground should be quite saturated with the first round of heavy rain today through tonight and successive bouts of the wet stuff could cause more issues in places that don’t have issues with the first wave. The other problem, although to a lesser degree will be strong and severe thunderstorms. Each day through Thursday will hold the potential for an isolated strong or severe TS. All modes will be possible but the main attributes should be heavy rainfall, wind and hail.
By Thursday, a fast-moving upper disturbance will be racing northeastward from Texas into the Ohio valley. This disturbance will push a weak cold front into the local area. The forcing along and ahead of the front should keep rain chances high into Thursday afternoon. Also continues to look like a few severe storms will be possible on Thursday.
The front should push through late Thursday, providing us a brief reprieve from the active weather on Friday. The weekend will see a return of scattered showers and storms. By Saturday, Thursday’s cold front lifts back northward as a warm front and on Sunday another cold front will push into the area, possibly bringing a quick shot of cooler weather to the Gulf south for the start of the next work week.