3/2 – Rob’s “Gray & Gloomy” Monday Morning Forecast

The current pattern over the country is quite complex at the moment. Locally, there’s a weak disturbance moving across the lower/mid-Mississippi Valley. This will be the focus for scattered to numerous shower development. Regional radars show these showers already tracking over the area. Expect this to continue throughout the day. At the same time, temperatures should be moderating with highs topping out in the mid-70s for most locations.

Moving into Tuesday, the disturbance will shift east while the trough to the north digs south into the midsection of the country. That scenario will provide a focus for shower and thunderstorm development all day over the local area. Training of storms may lead to local flash flooding at times. Likely the most impactful weather of the week will be coming on Wednesday. Along and south of the warm front is where there’s a Slight Risk for Severe weather and excessive rainfall. Timing of the surface low puts the window of severe threat beginning well into the afternoon and carrying over into the evening hours from west to east across the area. All modes of severe weather and heavy rainfall will be possible. It will probably be “messy” day with embedded severe storms rather than clear cut supercells. The area should be quickly clearing out before sunrise Thursday as the upper low races eastward. Skies my stay cloudy for much of the day, but the rain should be done.

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