2/5 – Rob’s “Wet & Gloomy” Friday Morning Forecast

The cold front east of the area will begin to slow and stall. Rain moving across the area will continue at time through today. As the cold front stalls in the N’tern GOM, isentropic lift looks to quickly set up. This could allow light showers to become scattered to numerous before midday.

With clouds, rain, and a colder airmass moving in, combined with evaporative cooling, today looks to be rather miserable. Highs in the forecast currently range from the upper 40s to mid 50s along coastal Ms.

Heading into the weekend Saturday will at least start out dreary and cold and depending on how fast the rain can move out we may be able to dry out late Saturday afternoon/evening. Confidence is still all over the place with respect to the extended portion of the forecast. Monday and Tuesday will be warm with another disturbance to the NW moving SE. This pattern doesn’t really change until late in the work week as a lot of energy looks to work down the backside of the disturbance causing it amplify and this could drive a rather frigid airmass well into the country.

Models are showing very high probabilities to see below to well below normal temperatures for mid/late February. Some models are even indicating the

possibility of winter precip in the south late next week and weekend but there is quite a spread in the models and ensembles that it would be futile to forecast that right now.

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