12/27 – Rob’s Gloomy Wednesday Afternoon Forecast

Light rain continues to move across the viewing area, under cloudy skies and cold conditions…

A combination of a weak area of low pressure moving across the coastal waters and an approaching cold front will keep rain chances in play throughout the day today, making for another raw weather day. Overall, rainfall amounts will likely be on the order of a quarter inch with some slightly higher amounts closer to the coast. Temperatures will generally be in the 40s across the area with lows tonight reaching the mid 30s north and the low 40s along the coastal counties. Tomorrow looks to be similar, although rain chances should begin to decrease as the day goes on.

Here is where the forecast gets interesting. There remains some considerable disagreement on the eventual evolution of the next system, which comes in late in the weekend. One model has backed off a little on the insanely cold temperatures it was forecasting for the area. Still, others have been consistent on less of an impact to the area as the colder temperatures stay to our north and east. Much of the forecast, including any precipitation chances were basically a blend of models. That continues to allow for a short period of time late on Sunday night into very early Monday morning where some wintry precipitation could be an issue for the northwest portions of the forecast area. For now, I have opted to go with a short period of a chance of WINTRY MIX with no accumulation in EXTREME SW Mississippi (Pike/Walthall counties). Beginning Monday morning, several nights of freezes would be likely with hard freezes in the northern parts of the forecast area and temperatures close to freezing along the immediate beach areas on Tuesday and Wednesday mornings.

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