12/31 – Rob’s End of Year “Wet” Forecast
Isolated showers continue with an area of weak low pressure circulation in the northwest gulf of Mexico. Models are indicating a cold front moving in from the west with a thin line of t-storms this afternoon with frontal passage. It does seem plausible that one or two showers or storms may approach severe levels farther inland away from marine layer influences, with SPC depicting a MARGINAL risk north of the viewing area.
Nonetheless, all convection should be well east of the area in time for New Year’s Eve midnight festivities. As has been the indications in the modelling, the front moves only so far into the north gulf then stalls. Another front will move through the area Wed/night through Thursday with strong dry air to flush the moisture out of the area.