12/12 Ryan’s “Warming” Wednesday Evening Forecast

The warming trend we began yesterday continues for the next few days and our next active weather is expected as early as tomorrow. Southerly winds began this afternoon and will increase into tomorrow afternoon as a developing frontal system moves in.

This low will occlude as it moves in, and the resulting shear increase in the warm sector brings a “marginal” potential for severe weather.

The risk won’t be high, but damaging straight line winds and a weaker, short-lived tornado are possible.

I still believe the biggest threat will be heavy rains and localized flooding, similar to what we saw last Saturday as our last front moved in.

Rainfall totals will average between 1-3″ for Thursday-Friday, but our conditions improve dramatically as we head through the back half of Saturday. Next week will see some of the best weather so far this season as highs linger in the mid-to-low 60s most of the week with sunny skies and chilly nights in the 40s.