12/04 – Rob Knight’s “Warmer” Wednesday Morning Forecast
No real changes to the ongoing forecast this morning as things still look to be on track.
Some showers will move through the majority of the area south of the area of thunderstorms. Then another area of showers and a few thunderstorms will develop along or just offshore during the same time frame and move southeast as well.
There should be enough stability over most of the area and could keep a good portion of the area from even getting a thunderstorm. This is a little odd for this time of year as we normally would see some type of strong system move through by now. This front will stall over the eastern gulf and slowly dissipate as the next stronger synoptic cold front moves into the area.
Not a lot of difference noted for the next system moving in Monday night with respect to previous forecast.
Showers with a few thunderstorms should begin developing as the front approaches the area Monday evening. This cold front will be quite cool and will move through the area quickly Tuesday morning.
The upper jet will lag the surface front just a bit giving rise to a very raw breezy cold rainy day Tuesday as well as a good part of Tuesday night.
At the moment, temperature profiles do not show any wintry issues as the driest dew point temps come in rapidly Wednesday morning as the moisture is moving out. A secondary dry air surge should move into the area by Thursday.