11/9 – Rob Knight’s Mid-Morning Monday Forecast

Upper level analysis across the country shows a deep disturbance encompassing the entire CONUS west of the MS River, high-pressure east of there, and Eta coming into the southeastern Gulf. The local area is pretty much in between all those features. At the moment, that equates to low/no precip chances and temperatures several degrees above normal or roughly halfway between normal and records.

Progressing into Tuesday, a weak disturbance rolling through the base of the overall pattern will push it farther south and east, closer to the area. At the same time, Eta will slowly be moving west towards the south-central Gulf. That will slightly increase buoyancy and combined with a slight bump in low-level moisture, will allow for scattered light showers to break out across the forecast area.

A Canadian cold front will move into the forecast area Wednesday which should go a long way in buffeting Tropical Storm Eta from the local area. The front should also aid in eventual steering of Eta later in the week, though not a terribly strong influence. Aside from Eta uncertainty, the local area should experience near to above normal temperatures and relatively dry conditions for the latter half of the week.