11/3 – Brittany’s “Warm & Muggy” Thursday Night Forecast
The warm conditions will continue and the average overnight lows tonight will be about 8-12 degrees warmer than seasonal average. We’ll have clear skies tonight but then heading into tomorrow we’ll start seeing an increase in cloud coverage with temperatures well above seasonal average yet again.
Another weekend cold front is expected coming in Friday afternoon/evening into Saturday with areas west of I-55 getting the rain first. While the best environmental conditions for severe weather is currently forecasted to remain to our west (Texas/W Louisiana), definitely cannot rule out some low end severe threat. Timing issues for having all the right ingredients also look like to be a limiting factor as well. So as of right now, the western half of the CWA would be the best chance for any severe weather as that area is a little closer to the better dynamics. Heavy rainfall is still a concern as PW values look to be very high for this time of year (near to possibly exceeding the daily max on SPC`s sounding climatology page for this Saturday). The front stalling on top of highly efficient rainmaking showers/storms could lead to areas getting high rainfall amounts. On the other hand, weak forcing and prolonged dry antecedent conditions should help limit flash flooding threats.