11/23 – The Chief’s “Thanksgiving Eve” Morning Forecast

After a couple days of light precipitation in some areas with mostly cloudy skies, clouds will break up today revealing partly cloudy to eventually mostly sunny skies. These conditions warm us up a few degrees, with highs forecast to reach the low to mid 70s for much of the area. With relatively low dew points during the day paired with sunny skies and temps in the 70s, it should be a pretty pleasant day. The weather remains dry and quiet until Thursday morning, with the arrival of our next big weather maker coming later Thursday.

Focus turns to the northern Rockies region as a disturbance dives down into the Southern Plains throughout the day on Thursday. This closed off low-pressure gradually moves eastward across the state of Texas before shooting off to the northeast. At the surface a warm front will push northward into SE Louisiana on Thursday, with a cold front to follow later Friday into Saturday as low pressure sweeps across MS.

Moving onto the impacts we will see across our area. Widespread precipitation starts to move into the area later Thursday morning, likely spreading across the whole area by Thursday evening. While With the first round of precipitation Thursday into Friday, onshore flow ahead of this precip brings elevated moisture to the region. This combined with possible training due to southwesterly to northeasterly movement brings the potential for heavy precipitation. The second round of precip Friday into Saturday also brings the risk of heavy rainfall. WPC has put the entire area in a slight risk of excessive rainfall both Thursday and Friday.

In terms of any severe weather potential, this is not looking to be the main focus. Instability is fairly limited, though there is some concentrated to the far coastal MS region. A few strong to severe thunderstorms in areas closer to the coast is not out of the question.

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