11/18 – Rob Knight’s “Cold Frontal Passage” Morning Forecast
The main focus of the short term will be the cold front that is still looking on track to slide down into our area later today. This increases rain chances gradually throughout the day, generally looking to be 30-40% at the peak late morning. We can’t rule out some thunder in the forecast, but the risk is rather limited. After the front passes through we’ll see an increase in northeasterly flow, becoming breezy Thursday evening through Friday evening. Much cooler/drier air moves in following the front with low temperatures trending in the low to mid 40s for most Thursday and Friday night. High pressure then builds in heading into the weekend.
High pressure building in for the weekend will help to diminish the winds by Saturday and turn them towards the east. Saturday and into most of the day on Sunday we are looking to have pleasant weather, with temperatures in the low to mid 70s and clear skies until the arrival of our next front.
An upper level disturbance will dig down into the Central U.S late Saturday and into Sunday, forming our next cold front. This front will slide down into our region early Monday. We will have a limited amount of moisture available in the environment, keeping rain chances in the 20-30% range for now. We also do not have a whole lot of support for organized deep convection, but we can`t rule out some thunder. This will continue to be monitored as we get closer to the weekend. Expect below normal temperatures through the early half of next week, with high temps trending in the low to upper 60s. Low temps also trend cooler, with northern areas dropping to the mid to upper 30s.