10/16 – Payton’s Monday Afternoon Forecast

Cold front will continue to track southeastward today. Could be a
few showers across the southeast half of the area today, mainly
during the morning hours. Will probably take much of the morning
to get rid of clouds in most areas as well. Beyond that, dry
through midweek.

Much cooler weather for the next several days, along with lower
dew points. Expect much of the northern half of the area to see
lows in the 40s and lower 50s tonight, and slightly warmer
readings Tuesday night. Highs generally in the 70s, although one
or two spots could creep into the lower 80s by Wednesday.

Upper ridging moves slowly east of the area at week’s end. This
should allow onshore flow to return moisture to the area. Rain
chances will return to land areas by Saturday or Saturday night.
Medium range models quite different beyond that point with the
European model tracking an upper low across the area around next Monday.
The GFS model holds it to the west over Texas. For now, did not make
large changes to the extended forecast. Above normal temperatures
for the extended period, but cooler than what we’ve seen over the
last week or two, generally lower and middle 80s for highs and in
the 50s and lower 60s for lows. It should be noted that if the
ECMWF solution verifies, temperatures for Sunday afternoon and
next Monday will need to be lowered significantly.

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