10/16 – Rob’s Foggy & Wet Morning Forecast

The area will remain on the western side of a strong upper level ridge over Florida and the western Gulf of Mexico. A cold front will also remain stretched across the Lower Mississippi Valley through Wednesday. The combination of the front in the region, ample moisture and increased forcing aloft associated with weak upper level impulses moving across the region will keep a risk of scattered showers and a few thunderstorms in place through Wednesday.

Cloud cover should keep the diurnal spread lower than usual, but overnight lows in the upper 50s across the northwest to the middle to upper 60s in the south and east can be expected tonight and tomorrow night.

The ridge axis will spread to the west and intensify over the area on Thursday and Friday. This decrease in available moisture will result in less cloud development on Thursday and Friday and lower rain chances. Thursday will see the lowest rain chances due to the strongest subsidence and driest airmass residing over the Gulf South.

A stronger system will dive into the eastern seaboard over the weekend, and force a stronger cold front into the northern Gulf of Mexico Saturday into Saturday night. Forcing along the front on Saturday will bring mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers to the area Saturday into Saturday evening. Temperatures should also cool slightly back into the upper 70s and lower 80s. A surge of drier air and cooler air will then sweep into the area on Sunday and remain in place through Monday. Clear skies and low humidity will allow overnight lows to cool into the upper 40s and 50s Sunday night.

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