10/13 – Brittany’s “Cooler” Thursday Night Forecast

The cold front that passed through the area earlier has cleared our outer waters. The front brought and precipitation chances out of our area as well, leaving mostly clear and mild conditions for the rest of today. Minimum temperatures were bumped slightly down from deterministic NBM due to the expectation of efficient radiational cooling. A surface high pressure looks to take over the area through Sunday, leading to persistent calm and clear conditions in the short term.

Starting on Sunday, onshore flow returns to the area as the surface high slides farther east over Georgia and South Carolina. This will lead to increased deep layer moisture over the area. better forcing will be in place on Monday as another front looks to move our way by that time. Model guidance seems to be in decent agreement with the timing of this front passing through Monday afternoon and evening. Once the front comes in, the dry air and subsidence behind it will drive precipitation chances away for the rest of the long term. Since this will be a stronger cold front, cooler temperatures are expected to come behind this front.

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