10/12 – Brittany Warden’s “Activity Tapering Off” Wednesday Evening Forecast

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms from this afternoon will diminish through this evening. With the cold front still NW, a few showers including spotty thunderstorms will continue through early tomorrow morning. The cold front will reach the area overnight and finally push through South Mississippi late Thursday morning.

High pressure will move in from the NW, providing for a cooler, drier airmass Friday and Saturday. This area of high pressure will suppress the atmosphere and provide for a slightly cooler/drier airmass. Only a minor cool-down is expected with our daytime high temperatures, however, overnight lows should see a drop-off of 10-12 degrees. Lower relative humidity during the afternoon will make temperatures in the low-80s rather comfortable.

The forecast this weekend becomes a bit more uncertain as models struggle to resolve just how deep the upper disturbance digs Thursday. I’m sticking with full frontal passage and a drier weekend. Moving to late weekend into early next week, a secondary cold front pushes towards the area. After having a day or so of onshore flow beforehand, will have moisture in place for the next front to capitalize on. Coverage is still uncertain but at least some chance of rain appears to be possible.

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