10/11 – Rob’s “Warm/Humid” Friday Morning Forecast
With an approaching cold front, expect minimal activity this morning with scattered showers/t-storms this afternoon into this evening. Ongoing scattered convection this afternoon should diminish as daytime heating and instability wanes, but t-storms should continue to develop over the offshore waters through the night. A few stronger storms could develop, but the risk of severe thunderstorms will be very limited. Temperatures will remain warmer than average with highs in the middle to upper 80s.
The front will continue to push to the east-southeast into the coastal waters tonight before stalling over the far offshore waters on Saturday. Lingering low level moisture trapped in the low-levels should keep a broken to overcast sky in place on Saturday. Some clearing should occur Saturday night as continued dry air advection finally flushes out some the low level moisture. Temperatures are expected to drop into the 50s and lower 60s by Saturday morning in the wake of the front, and should only rise into the 70s Saturday afternoon. Lows will dip back into the 50s and lower 60s Saturday night as high pressure briefly lingers over the area.
A series of fast moving disturbances will sweep across the area early next week. The biggest impact from these features will be to gradually draw the stalled boundary in the coastal waters further north across south Mississippi in the form of a weak warm front keeping mostly cloudy conditions and the risk of scattered showers in place from Sunday through Tuesday.