1/5 – Rob Knight’s Tuesday Mid-Morning Forecast

High-pressure will build into the Mississippi river valley today bringing dry conditions with temperatures rebounding to above normal and continuing through tomorrow. The next system will arrive on Wednesday bringing a cold front out ahead of it into the forecast area by late Wednesday. This will bring the next chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms Wednesday night and Thursday morning. Low pressure system will slowly track through the southeastern states on Thursday and Friday as surface high pressure returns to the local region with dry and seasonably cool conditions prevailing on Thursday afternoon and continuing into Friday.

Colder air mass builds into the area by Friday. At the same time an amplifying system will begin to dig into the western CONUS. This trough looks to push another surface low/cold front combo through the area Sunday night/Monday morning. The track of the low has fairly significant implications for the local weather, with the southern track keeping the local area on the cold side of the system.

There are at least a couple scenarios that could result in wintry PRECIPITATION late Sunday night into Monday morning.

There are more scenarios that don’t, though. The things we’ll be watching are the timing of the arrival of cold air, the timing of departure of precip, the erosion of the warm inversion. Currently it’s too far out to say for sure how the situation will evolve and it is currently too small a chance to include in the official forecast.

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