1/23 – Rob Knight’s Wet Wednesday Morning Forecast

This morning, ample moisture and instability will allow for scattered to numerous showers and a few thunderstorms to begin developing. By late morning and early afternoon, a strong cold front will push across the forecast area, and expect to see a band of heavier showers and thunderstorms impact the region. If a severe thunderstorm manages to develop today, the primary threats will be damaging wind gusts and tornadoes. After the front moves past, a quick drop in temperatures from the 60s into the 50s and then the 40s by late this afternoon can be expected. Strong subsidence and dry air advection in the wake of the front will lead to rapidly clearing skies through the evening hours. By tomorrow morning, clear skies, breezy conditions, and cold temperatures in the 30s can be expected.

Strong high pressure will settle over the area. A very dry and very stable airmass will remain in place, with a mixture of sun and clouds and colder than average temperatures in the forecast. Overnight lows will drop into the 30s both Thursday and Friday nights, and daytime highs will only warm into the middle 50s.

A northwest flow pattern and a strong surface high will remain in firm control of the forecast area through Monday. Some modification in temperatures is expected over the weekend as cold air advection wanes. Daytime highs should warm back to more normal readings in the low to mid 60s from Saturday through Monday and overnight lows will be closer to average in the upper 30s and lower 40s.

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