1/23 – Jeff’s “Seasonal” Monday Afternoon Forecast

Sunshine is back to start the week! Temperatures will be near our seasonal norms this afternoon with only a few upper-level clouds. Tonight will be another cold one for our area with temperatures dipping into the 40s by this evening, and increasing cloud coverage overnight.

A storm system to our west will be traversing along the Gulf Coast tomorrow. It will then track to its northeast during the day Tuesday. Favorable dynamics and rapid moisture recovery tomorrow afternoon and evening have prompted the Storm Prediction Center to issue an Enhanced (Level 3 of 5) risk for severity tomorrow. The window for activity in our area is from 7 PM Tuesday evening until 3 AM Wednesday morning.

There is a threat for isolated tornadic activity, damaging straight-line wind gusts, and localized flooding. In addition to the severe thunderstorm threat, there will also be gusty winds outside of thunderstorms. Winds will be elevated tomorrow afternoon and evening. Winds gusting in excess of 25 to 35 MPH can be expected. On the water, there will be a Gale Warning going into effect tomorrow at 9 AM, running through Wednesday morning.

The cold front will clear the area early Wednesday morning. Some lingering moisture will bring a 30% chance of showers around daybreak. Clearing will then take place through the day. Temperatures will be slightly below average to end the workweek.

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