01/30 – Rob’s “Mostly Cloudy” Thursday Morning Forecast
The next surface low-pressure will begin to get organized later today near Brownsville TX and rapidly move northeast over the northern gulf tonight into Friday. The marine areas especially offshore will be able to get into the warm sector but land areas should remain locked in the cool sector which should cause the area to stay relatively stable while the low-pressure forces a good bit of moisture over the top of the cooler air at the surface.
This will set the stage for widespread light to moderate rainfall but no thunderstorms. The convective activity should remain well. We could remain cloudy into the weekend before seeing any good length of sunshine.
Sunday may be the day of finally getting some length of sunlight. Current thinking is the area will stay cloudy Saturday while the base of the upper trough is swinging through with some cold mid to upper temps.
The next cold front should be in the area by Tuesday. This time there should be more thunderstorm activity with it. The upper jet structure stays behind this front causing additional lift to continue. This may keep the area in some on and off cloudy somewhat light rainy conditions by mid next week.