Steve’s Weather Blog – 09/12/2016
Monday, September 12, 2016
Today’s Weather –
A decayed frontal boundary is draped across the area this morning. Combined with the sea breeze effect, this will serve as a focus for shower and thunderstorm activity in the late morning and throughout the afternoon and evening. It’s also prudent to note that its energy may be around for a couple of days, thus elevating rain chances each day this week. If you want percentages, I’d say between a 40 and 50 percent chance of precipitation each day through the week.
Our marine weather is going to be impacted this week, too, by westerly moving waves along the northern Gulf states. These waves will increase winds, especially over the outer waters. Near shore winds of 10-15 knots will be common in the Mississippi Sound, with a moderate chop being the result. The outer waters will have sustained winds in the 20 knot range over the next several days until something disrupts the pattern. Though, as of this writing, it appears that only a frontal boundary could manage that task and that doesn’t appear likely for several days.
Temperature-wise, we’ll be around our average high temps and overnight lows, only modulated by rainfall and cloud cover.
The Tropics –
This morning, an area of disturbed weather over the Bahamas is not becoming better organized. A surface low seems unable to form as of today and the chance of formation into a tropical system are very low (10%) for the next five days as the system will bring rain and stormy conditions to Florida this week.
Otherwise, there’s Invest 94-L in the central Atlantic. It’s poised to become a tropical storm later today with winds already at gale force near the center of the low. All that’s waiting is a closed surface circulation. The low is forecast to continue moving northward in the central Atlantic and poses no threat to land.
Fall Colors –
Have you ever wondered what actually makes the leaves in plants change color for Fall each year? It’s a little more complicated than you might think!
Find out more HERE (from the U.S. National Arboretum).
Meteorologist Steve Taylor