10/18 – Rob’s Friday Afternoon “Gloomy/Rainy” Forecast

Potential Tropical Cyclone #16 will move through the northeast Gulf of Mexico today and tonight. Breezy conditions and some coastal rain showers can be expected this afternoon with rain tapering off overnight. Highs should only warm to around 65 degrees this afternoon. Strong easterly flow of around 20 knots should also support some minor coastal flooding issues, especially along east facing shores. Temperatures should once again cool into the upper 50s and lower 60s tonight as the low starts moving toward the Florida Panhandle.

In the wake of the departing low tomorrow, expect clearing skies, lower humidity, and somewhat warmer temperatures near 80 degrees can be expected. All of the model guidance remains in good agreement that a strong cold front will sweep through the region on Monday.

The region will also remain under the threat for SEVERE WEATHER with bowing segments and straight line wind damage being the main concern. The front and line of thunderstorms should quickly sweep offshore Monday night and strong dry air and cold air advection will take hold by Tuesday.