10/30 – Sam Parker’s “Oh Geez” Wednesday Midday Forecast

A cold front will move through the central plains and come to an abrupt stall near the Texarkana region late Thu. This will be close enough for our area to at least see the prefrontal trough induce some showers and thunderstorms well ahead of the actual front with moisture flow helping this process. A not likely passing shower or two today should increase in chance and coverage Thursday with a few noises that we have not heard in a while. A convergence line should also develop from the gulf NW through Mobile or slightly west. This should give the best chance of actually measuring little rainfall over the Missississippi gulf coast today. There will be some showers maybe a storm elsewhere, this is just the area with the highest prob of getting measured rainfall. Thursday the area probs are a bit more spread out. Tropics are getting in the Halloween spirit with a great orange pumpkin in the Caribbean which is a moderate (40%) chance of development. models are showing a trend of development towards the weekend/ beginning of next week.