7/12 – Chris’s “Isolated Flooding Possible” Wednesday Afternoon Forecast

This afternoon a subtle SW’tly flow has taken over which helpes bring deeper Gulf moisture into the area. Daytime heating will be the main factor producing showers/t-storms, with VERY efficient rainmakers. The main concern is the chance for localized flash flooding. This very deep tropical airmass will confidently yield sufficient rain rates, in the 2-5″ range or higher at times and quickly overwhelm an already saturated ground.

Today thunderstorm motion could temporarily stall out at times and cause localized flash flooding to develop faster than the past few days as the area is under a “Slight” threat for flooding. Temperatures will be seasonal with the chance to be below average if showers and thunderstorms develop earlier. Lingering showers and thunderstorms will be possible after sunset and will diminish with time. Not much of a change Thursday with another day of diurnally forced thunderstorms, perhaps slightly less in overall coverage with temperatures back in the low 90s.

Overall high pressure will be in control late in the week and into the weekend. This will drive a very slight rise in temperatures and decrease shower and thunderstorm activity. Heat indices could range from 100-110 across the area with the chance of heat advisories this weekend.