9/26 – The Chief’s “Cold Frontal Passage” Monday Morning Forecast

A cold front will push through the area this morning bringing in a cooler/drier air mass. Isolated to scattered showers could be possible along the coastal areas as the front tries to move through this morning. Overall, there is decent moisture at the surface, but a lack of deep layer moisture content. As a result, I’m generally not expecting widespread rain. The warm temperatures will persist through this afternoon, especially for the coastal areas as the front lags a bit. But, generally highs are forecast in the low to mid 90s. Tuesday, the frontal system will have pushed through and cooler temperatures will arrive in the area with highs on Tuesday forecast to be in the mid-80s with drier conditions (dew-points in the upper50s and low 60s. It will actually start to feel like Fall!

Really not much change to the extended forecast and some details continue to be contingent on the eventual track and intensity of Ian. Generally speaking, the Wednesday and Thursday time frame will have pleasant to cool mornings and warm afternoons with lows in the mid to upper 50s north and highs in the low to mid 80s most places. If winds look to calm a bit more than expected Tuesday and Wednesday nights, there is room for a several more degrees of cooling based on the very dry air mass and mostly clear skies. It will be breezy to windy during the day, but more on that later. For Friday and into next weekend, a very gradual warming and moistening is expected as the air mass slowly modifies.

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