9/15 – The Chief’s “Final Weekend of Summer” Friday Afternoon Forecast
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon as temps warm into the upper 80s/low 90s within a fairly moisture regime. Although the latest atmospheric profile is showing a good bit of saturation in the low/mid-levels of the atmosphere, decent storm motion should limit flash flooding potential. However, the area could see coverage upwards of 50% mainly south of the interstate. Rainfall totals of 1-2″ are possible but should be fairly isolated.
Medium range models continue to show an upper level disturbance diving south out of Canada across the High Plains and digging as far south as the Gulf Coast. Previous runs were a bit more shallow but latest run is more in line with the what is normal for this time of year. Fairly benign weather expected Sunday into the first half of the week as that upper level disturbance continues eastward and upper level high pressure builds in from the southwest. This will keep temps from being any cooler than normal for this time of year as well as maintain low rain chances outside of coastal convection.