6/27 – Britt’s “Here Comes The Rain” Monday Afternoon Forecast
An Upper level low-pressure over the north central Gulf of Mexico will continue to drift slowly westward over the next few days, with blocking pattern finally breaking down. Air-mass is going to remain pretty saturated over the next 3-5 days. If there`s going to be a “drier”, it’ll probably be on Tuesday, when there is a brief period where moisture flow will be limited, before returning to above normal Wednesday. Based on this pattern, t-storm threat will increase by late morning, dissipating by mid-evening.
Locally heavy rainfall in a few locations is a given. Most of the area has been dry in June, especially over the last couple weeks, so no widespread excessive rainfall issues are expected in the short term. However, isolated occurrences of street flooding wouldn’t be a surprise, as cell movements won’t be much more than about 5 mph.
Temperatures the next few days will be much more representative of late June with lows in the 70s and highs around 90. While the main portion of the Gulf of Mexico trough/disturbance drifts westward toward the Texas coast over the next several days, the deep moisture isn’t going anywhere any time soon. There are some indications that high-pressure may try to build back into the area late in the holiday weekend.