6/1 – Rob’s “Sunny & Hot” Monday Afternoon Forecast

The area of high-pressure has already connected with the ridge over the FL straights and is quickly sliding southeast and by this afternoon will likely be centered over portions of the Lower MS Valley and the eastern Gulf. Temperatures should touch the 90 degree mark inland and maybe a few isolated locations in the mid-90s. Heading into Tuesday and Wednesday rain looks to return to the region. This along with an initial surge of moisture will begin to lead to rain returning Tuesday. Best chance for rain should be closer to the coast likely associated with a seabreeze.

The forecast for the end of the work week calls for typical afternoon showers and thunderstorms however as we move into next weekend the forecast has many questions with respect to what evolves in the Gulf.

As we look at next weekend and into the following work week we will be watching the evolution of the remnants of TS Amanda. If this system does develop and move north at the very least we will likely continue to see an increase in shower and thunderstorm activity. Also again highly dependent on development but if there is a tropical system in the central Gulf this weekend the driving force in the eventual track will be a ridge that is expected to move into the southern/central Plains early this weekend. At this time it is still way too early to focus on any one solution but at the least the greatest concern appears to be the threat of heavy rain as deep moisture surges north across the north-central Gulf.

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