6/1 – Rob Martin’s “Hotter Into The Weekend” Wednesday Night Forecast
The downpours from earlier today have dissipated and we’re not expecting anything more through this Wednesday night. June has arrived and the weather is right on cue today with the spotty downpours, which is quite normal for this time of year. The moisture is being brought in at the surface from the Keys to the Yucatan Peninsula then flowing northward and converging as it moves near the northern gulf coast. The moisture will move back and forth over the coming days from near Mobile to New Orleans and when daytime heating is involved, the whole north central gulf coast will be in the mix to get spotty thunderstorms again Thursday.
By Friday, a weak cold front will approach from the northwest, then stall and start to wash out over the coast. This will boost storm chances a bit Friday…up to the 30-40% range. The main concern would again be brief heavy rainfall, and will likely be the “best” chance for more widespread activity out of the next several days. In terms of temperatures, the front won’t have any effect, which will remain in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Even humidity won’t fall enough to be noticeable.
Storm chances will be less on Saturday, as a slightly drier flow develops with weak high-pressure, cutting off the gulf flow to an extent. Temps will thus have a chance to rise higher than we’ve had so far this season… rising to the mid-90s in some areas. Dew points remain in the low 70s so heat index values won`t be much higher than regular temp through the weekend. Lows remain in the lower to mid-70s each night.
Humidity ramps up bit by the middle of next week, and as temperatures remain high, the heat index could be near 100 at times.