5/14 – The Chief’s “Simply GORGEOUS” Tuesday Afternoon Forecast

An area of weak low-pressure overhead will slide to the east and dissipate. We will transition into somewhat lower dew-points and maintain those conditions for the next few days with a drier air mass moving through the region. A cold front will also actually move through and stall over the gulf tonight into early Wednesday and also remain over the gulf through Wednesday night.

Thursday, this front will begin to move back to the north. This frontal interface will be the area that the next system will begin to use to develop our next bout of rain. The warm front moves inland and stalls along and NW of coastal Mississippi by late Thursday. Models are in disagreement on timing of this system, but they agree on the overall synoptic picture. The upper weakness to the west will help make this all possible again just like the issue we just came out of. Another batch of energy will exit the base with upper split flow continuing downstream. This is almost a ditto of what just occurred with some minor tweaks in placement. In translation: more HEAVY RAIN will be possible. The main theme with this one will also be rainfall, but again, this complex of storms will also have the potential for severity as well. We will just have to get closer to the event to resolve the smaller details.