4/18 – Rob’s “Mid-Week” Morning Forecast

No significant weather is expected throughout this week. A deep closed upper level low centered north of Maine is steadily moving east while upper ridge is following behind it. This increasing height regime will bring the return of warmer weather to the area. A clipper trough racing east across the central plains today will send a dry front through the forecast area late tonight through sunrise tomorrow. Compressional warming ahead of this front will moderate temps quite a bit today. From a precipitation perspective, models show isolated showers moving through the outer coastal waters but nothing on shore. Post frontal airmass will knock temps down a good 10 degrees Thursday and Friday.

The next weather impact will be coming this weekend. Models are in good agreement showing an upper low coming into the West Coast Thursday and tracking east to the southern plains by Saturday evening. The low looks to be tracking closer than normal to the area, right across Arkansas and northern MS/AL Sunday. This will bring a surface low with cold and warm fronts appended to it. Model soundings do show quite a bit of bulk shear (as expected) and some instability. Will have to see how model solutions progress but at this time, looks to be much more a docile event compared to this past weekend.