4/10 – The Chief’s “Severe Weather Threat” Wednesday Afternoon Forecast

A vigorous storm system continues to move east though the region. Activity from this morning will begin to taper-off…with another batch of energy moving tough the area this afternoon into this evening.

The flooding potential is also an issue today, mainly over the eastern half of the area and the flood watch area looks well placed. We should see showers/t-storms begin to develop very soon this morning ahead of the main line that moves through the area which should start between 7 and 8 am. The line of storms that will be rolling through is developing in a line from Laredo NE’ward at the time of this writing. This line is already showing some severe complex features along with low-level rotation and wind gusts to 37kt.

The line itself is speeding up and moving ENE at around 35-40kt. We will leave all headlines as is this morning. A cold front will move through the area this evening around or just after dark. The line of storms that moves ahead of this boundary will cool things down enough to help cause some stability, but the upper levels will remain divergent until the front moves through. A dry slot will move over the area by late tonight and early Thu then the back side of the surface low will reach us bringing low deck cloudy skies to the area for most of Thu with a final clearing Thursday evening.

Conditions look dry and nice for the weekend, and the next system that impacts the area looks to be toward the end of next week.

 

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