3/21 – Rob Knight’s “Monday Morning” Workweek Forecast

Today very nice but will be a transition day for deeper moisture and much better dynamics. Instability starts to increase today until a cold front moves through the area late Tuesday night/Wed morning. Long story short is that all variables finally come together for this event. The last several events have not seen these entire severe weather variables working together at the same time. ALL FORM OF SEVERITY WILL BE ON THE TABLE.

The region is under a ENHANCED/MODERATE threat for severe weather (Level 3/4 0f 5)

Starting out, all of the area will become very unstable Tuesday into Tuesday night. An area of prefrontal showers/t-storms is expected to develop ahead of the main line and this could occur before daylight Tuesday over the northern half of the region. The main line is expected to begin moving into the NW portion of the area around noon Tuesday. There is no doubt that there will be some severe weather with these storms but how many is the question. There could be a set up some very heavy rainfall training thunderstorms over at least the northern half of the area during the day and evening Tuesday.

A strong dry air surge moves in behind the front quickly bringing stability and ending any severe threat to the area after midnight. At the moment, this timing could be well after midnight Tuesday into Wednesday morning.

Categories: Weather Headlines