9/19 – Rob’s “Cold Front” Thursday Morning Forecast

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Better rain chances will be in the offing across the forecast area the next couple days as the fringes of the remnants of Imelda impact the more western zones while a weak backdoor frontal boundary pushes its way into the region. With some dry air in the mid-levels and intense diurnal heating today, some of the storms may be capable of producing gusty winds this afternoon. Moisture flow will continue to elevate on Friday, and with a frontal boundary in the area and diurnal heating scattered convection is expected.

Drier air will filter into the area with this boundary for the weekend, especially across the eastern and northern sections. Although the daytime temperatures will still be hot, lower humidity levels will make it more bearable and nighttime lows will be more comfortable during this period. Mostly dry conditions will return for the weekend as mid/upper level high-pressure will dominate the southeast CONUS and central Gulf coast region and with dry air over the region. There are still no significant cold fronts on the horizon to bring us any fall weather. Temperatures will continue to run above normal during the period and daytime temperatures have been raised above guidance based on what has been observed the past few days and given the dry conditions in most areas.