8/12 – Rob’s Monday Morning Forecast

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Today will bring very hot temperatures as afternoon t-storms will continue to be the rule across the forecast area. Temperatures are expected to once again reach into the low to mid 90s. Heat indices again should reach the 105 to 112 range again this afternoon. High pressure will be centered a little bit closer to us today and that should keep widespread convection at bay but isolated to scattered showers and storms this afternoon will be likely. A Heat Advisory has been issued for today through 8 PM. It looks like the heat could continue on through the mid-week. Highs should reach the 90s, and afternoon sea-breeze and air mass storms should be in the forecast each day.

Models continue to show a break from some of the higher heat by mid to late week. A frontal boundary should be moving southward from the Midwest States by the middle of the week. That should increase rain chances across the region that may linger through the end of the week. Models want to keep the front somewhat intact and the remaining boundary should move wash out or stall over the forecast area. Storms should be more widespread and could be generally stronger. There is an outside chance of some severe storms on Wednesday. The Storm Prediction Center has introduced a Marginal Risk of severe weather for Wednesday as that boundary pushes south. We will have to see what actually happens but increased rain chances are in store later on in the week. Rain cooled relief should to keep temperatures in manageable ranges later on in the week.