2/9 – Payton’s Friday Afternoon Forecast

Today through early next week is still looking to be full of periods of rain although not raining the entire time.

Saturday, rain chances will be rising considerably as  a cold front begins to approach the area from the NW. Even though the boundary will still be well north, near the Arklatex region, buoyancy ahead of the front will be increasing. I’m thinking what may occur is a short period of opportunity for SEVERITY in the late morning/early afternoon before convection becoming numerous for a few slightly more discrete storms to develop and reach strong to marginally SEVERE status. After that, most of the area will see moderate to occasionally heavy rainfall. Sunday will likely be a repeat of Saturday except a lesser chance for severe storms.

The cold front  will slowly move towards the area will finally push through Sunday night, before it stalls along the coast through Monday. An upper ridge will then build east across the central Gulf of Mexico Tuesday through Thursday of next week. This will send the stationary front along the coast back north. Increasing rain chances will be the result of this, so have kept elevated pops that period.

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