2/28 – Rob Knight’s Mid-Week Afternoon Forecast

This afternoon will bring WARM/HUMID and breezy conditions from the south…which could lead to temperatures near a RECORD HIGH. By Wednesday night a shortwave trough will be tracking across the Southern Plains.

An accompanying cold front should be approaching the central Gulf Coast Thursday and move through during the day, but will be really stretching out along the coast by then. Areas to the south and east may still warm into the upper 70s ahead of the front. Showers and storms are expected with the passage, though the better forcing and higher shear parameters for severe weather look to stay north of the area.

We will say goodbye to Gulf air for a couple days. The airmass behind will be cool and certainly much drier as surface high pressure build in from the north. Nights will be cool from the drier air, especially inland, but daytime highs will still be near to just above average. Onshore flow returns Sunday night as surface high pressure shifts east. The next cold front looks to move through the region early next week with the chance for showers and storms.

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